A new study from Juniper Research has found that the total cost of eCommerce fraud to merchants will exceed $48 billion globally in 2023, from just over $41 billion in 2022.
It predicted that this growth will be accelerated by the increasing use of alternative payment methods, such as digital wallets and BNPL (Buy-Now-Pay-Later), which are creating new fraud risks.
The report recommends that fraud prevention vendors focus on building platforms providing AI-powered risk-based scoring, which can be payment method agnostic, to best suit changing market conditions.
Online payment fraud includes losses across the sales of digital goods, physical goods, money transfer transactions and banking, as well as purchases like airline ticketing. Fraudster attacks can include phishing, business email compromises and socially engineered fraud.
North America Tops League Table for Fraud
The research identifies North America as having the largest fraudulent transaction value of any regional market, accounting for over 42% of global fraud by value in 2023, despite representing less than 7% of banked individuals globally. The research cited the vast volume of data breaches and the broad availability of stolen credit card information as the key risk factors in this market.
Research author Nick Maynard explains:
“To combat this fraud, eCommerce merchants must implement simple steps such as address verification, combined with risk-based scoring on transactions, which will allow merchants to best mitigate the massive fraud threats present.”
BNPL Fraud – A Major Risk
Additionally, the research found that the potential of fraud with BNPL is a major risk going forward. Given the delayed nature of BNPL payments, fraudsters can make several illegitimate payments using stolen card details before the fraudulent activity is identified, creating significant risk.
In turn, the research recommends that BNPL vendors conduct robust identity verification at the point of onboarding to mitigate these risks.
- To find out more, see the new report: Online Payment Fraud: Market Forecasts, Emerging Threats & Segment Analysis 2022-2027
- Download the free whitepaper: Fighting Online Payment Fraud in 2022 & Beyond